Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Washington's 5th district · 2026

        Carmela Conroy vs. Michael Baumgartner

        D Carmela Conroy · R Michael Baumgartner · Held by Michael Baumgartner

        ElectIt forecast: Carmela Conroy 8% · Michael Baumgartner 92% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $3.6M in this race: $2.8M raised by the campaigns + $107K in outside spending for the general election ($80K helping the Democrat, $27K the Republican).

        • Carmela Conroy Raised $723K · against: $27K
        • Michael Baumgartner Raised $2.1M · against: $80K

        From the Federal Election Commission.