Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

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    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Virginia's 5th district · 2026

        Tom Perriello vs. John McGuire

        D Tom Perriello · R John McGuire · Held by John J. McGuire III

        ElectIt forecast: Tom Perriello 36% · John McGuire 64% · Lean R

        Campaign money

        $8.3M in this race: $5.7M raised by the campaigns + $2.6M in outside spending for the general election ($1.9M helping the Democrat, $704K the Republican).

        • Tom Perriello Raised $3.5M · outside groups for: $22K · against: $66K
        • John McGuire Raised $2.2M · outside groups for: $637K · against: $1.8M

        From the Federal Election Commission.