Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Texas Senate · 2026

        James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton

        D James Talarico · R Ken Paxton · Held by open (R)

        ElectIt forecast: James Talarico 56% · Ken Paxton 44% · Toss-up

        Campaign money

        $529M in this race: $148M raised by the campaigns + $348M in outside spending for the general election ($62M helping the Democrat, $286M the Republican).

        • James Talarico Raised $129M · outside groups for: $15M · against: $195M
        • Ken Paxton Raised $19M · outside groups for: $91M · against: $47M

        From the Federal Election Commission.