Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

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    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Texas's 4th district · 2026

        Jason Pearce vs. Pat Fallon

        D Jason Pearce · R Pat Fallon · Held by Pat Fallon

        ElectIt forecast: Jason Pearce <1% · Pat Fallon >99% · Safe R

        Campaign money

        $960K in this race: $959K raised by the campaigns + $0 in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Jason Pearce Raised $26K
        • Pat Fallon Raised $933K

        From the Federal Election Commission.