Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Texas's 38th district · 2026

        Melissa McDonough vs. Jon Bonck

        D Melissa McDonough · R Jon Bonck · Held by open (R)

        ElectIt forecast: Melissa McDonough 13% · Jon Bonck 87% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $3.0M in this race: $2.3M raised by the campaigns + $5K in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $5K the Republican).

        • Melissa McDonough Raised $117K
        • Jon Bonck Raised $2.2M · outside groups for: $5K

        From the Federal Election Commission.