Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

    Closest races

      Most money (campaigns + outside groups)

        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Tennessee's 5th district · 2026

        Chaz Molder vs. Charlie Hatcher

        D Chaz Molder · R Charlie Hatcher · Held by open (R)

        ElectIt forecast: Chaz Molder 5% · Charlie Hatcher 95% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $5.7M in this race: $5.1M raised by the campaigns + $339K in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $339K the Republican).

        • Chaz Molder Raised $3.4M · against: $150K
        • Charlie Hatcher Raised $1.7M · outside groups for: $188K

        From the Federal Election Commission.