Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

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    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        South Dakota at large · 2026

        Nikki Gronli vs. Marty Jackley

        D Nikki Gronli · R Marty Jackley · Held by open (R)

        ElectIt forecast: Nikki Gronli <1% · Marty Jackley >99% · Safe R

        Campaign money

        $2.4M in this race: $2.1M raised by the campaigns + $118K in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $118K the Republican).

        • Nikki Gronli Raised $387K
        • Marty Jackley Raised $1.7M · outside groups for: $118K

        From the Federal Election Commission.