Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

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    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Pennsylvania's 4th district · 2026

        Madeleine Dean vs. Aurora Stuski

        D Madeleine Dean · R Aurora Stuski · Held by Madeleine Dean

        ElectIt forecast: Madeleine Dean >99% · Aurora Stuski <1% · Safe D

        Campaign money

        $1.9M in this race: $1.9M raised by the campaigns + $95 in outside spending for the general election ($95 helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Madeleine Dean Raised $1.9M · outside groups for: $95
        • Aurora Stuski Raised $10K

        From the Federal Election Commission.