Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Pennsylvania's 16th district · 2026

        Justin Wagner vs. Mike Kelly

        D Justin Wagner · R Mike Kelly · Held by Mike Kelly

        ElectIt forecast: Justin Wagner 7% · Mike Kelly 93% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $1.6M in this race: $1.6M raised by the campaigns + $0 in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Justin Wagner Raised $223K
        • Mike Kelly Raised $1.4M

        From the Federal Election Commission.