Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Oklahoma's 5th district · 2026

        Jena Nelson vs. Stephanie Bice

        D Jena Nelson · R Stephanie Bice · Held by Stephanie I. Bice

        ElectIt forecast: Jena Nelson 8% · Stephanie Bice 92% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $3.2M in this race: $3.1M raised by the campaigns + $36K in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $36K the Republican).

        • Jena Nelson Raised $739K
        • Stephanie Bice Raised $2.4M · outside groups for: $36K

        From the Federal Election Commission.