Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

    Closest races

      Most money (campaigns + outside groups)

        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Ohio's 9th district · 2026

        Marcy Kaptur vs. Derek Merrin

        D Marcy Kaptur · R Derek Merrin · Held by Marcy Kaptur

        ElectIt forecast: Marcy Kaptur 80% · Derek Merrin 20% · Likely D

        Campaign money

        $16M in this race: $7.7M raised by the campaigns + $8.4M in outside spending for the general election ($5.0M helping the Democrat, $3.4M the Republican).

        • Marcy Kaptur Raised $5.6M · outside groups for: $2.0M · against: $1.3M
        • Derek Merrin Raised $2.1M · outside groups for: $2.1M · against: $3.0M

        From the Federal Election Commission.