Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Ohio's 15th district · 2026

        Don Leonard vs. Mike Carey

        D Don Leonard · R Mike Carey · Held by Mike Carey

        ElectIt forecast: Don Leonard 37% · Mike Carey 63% · Lean R

        Campaign money

        $11M in this race: $5.1M raised by the campaigns + $5.6M in outside spending for the general election ($3.7M helping the Democrat, $1.8M the Republican).

        • Don Leonard Raised $1.1M · outside groups for: $1.2M · against: $1.1M
        • Mike Carey Raised $4.0M · outside groups for: $763K · against: $2.5M

        From the Federal Election Commission.