Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        New York's 20th district · 2026

        Paul Tonko vs. Ralph Ambrosio

        D Paul Tonko · R Ralph Ambrosio · Held by Paul Tonko

        ElectIt forecast: Paul Tonko >99% · Ralph Ambrosio <1% · Safe D

        Campaign money

        $1.3M in this race: $1.3M raised by the campaigns + $0 in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Paul Tonko Raised $1.2M
        • Ralph Ambrosio Raised $62K

        From the Federal Election Commission.