Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

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    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        New Mexico's 1st district · 2026

        Melanie Stansbury vs. Didi Okpareke

        D Melanie Stansbury · R Didi Okpareke · Held by Melanie A. Stansbury

        ElectIt forecast: Melanie Stansbury >99% · Didi Okpareke <1% · Safe D

        Campaign money

        $1.8M in this race: $1.8M raised by the campaigns + $0 in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Melanie Stansbury Raised $1.7M
        • Didi Okpareke Raised $100K

        From the Federal Election Commission.