Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Montana's 1st district · 2026

        Sam Forstag vs. Aaron Flint

        D Sam Forstag · R Aaron Flint · Held by open (R)

        ElectIt forecast: Sam Forstag 59% · Aaron Flint 41% · Toss-up

        Campaign money

        $19M in this race: $6.3M raised by the campaigns + $11M in outside spending for the general election ($4.5M helping the Democrat, $6.3M the Republican).

        • Sam Forstag Raised $3.7M · outside groups for: $961K · against: $3.8M
        • Aaron Flint Raised $2.6M · outside groups for: $2.6M · against: $3.5M

        From the Federal Election Commission.