Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

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    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Minnesota Senate · 2026

        Peggy Flanagan vs. Michele Tafoya

        D Peggy Flanagan · R Michele Tafoya · Held by open (D)

        ElectIt forecast: Peggy Flanagan 87% · Michele Tafoya 13% · Likely D

        Campaign money

        $32M in this race: $20M raised by the campaigns + $2.7M in outside spending for the general election ($1.6M helping the Democrat, $1.1M the Republican).

        • Peggy Flanagan Raised $10M · outside groups for: $1.5M · against: $1.1M
        • Michele Tafoya Raised $9.7M · outside groups for: $25K · against: $71K

        From the Federal Election Commission.