Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

    Closest races

      Most money (campaigns + outside groups)

        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Minnesota's 1st district · 2026

        Jake Johnson vs. Brad Finstad

        D Jake Johnson · R Brad Finstad · Held by Brad Finstad

        ElectIt forecast: Jake Johnson 42% · Brad Finstad 58% · Toss-up

        Campaign money

        $11M in this race: $5.8M raised by the campaigns + $5.2M in outside spending for the general election ($3.4M helping the Democrat, $1.8M the Republican).

        • Jake Johnson Raised $3.2M · outside groups for: $433K · against: $1.6M
        • Brad Finstad Raised $2.6M · outside groups for: $228K · against: $3.0M

        From the Federal Election Commission.