Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Maine's 2nd district · 2026

        Matthew Dunlap vs. Paul LePage

        D Matthew Dunlap · R Paul LePage · Held by open (D)

        ElectIt forecast: Matthew Dunlap 63% · Paul LePage 37% · Lean D

        Campaign money

        $15M in this race: $5.9M raised by the campaigns + $9.2M in outside spending for the general election ($6.1M helping the Democrat, $3.1M the Republican).

        • Matthew Dunlap Raised $2.7M · outside groups for: $915K · against: $2.6M
        • Paul LePage Raised $3.2M · outside groups for: $517K · against: $5.2M

        From the Federal Election Commission.