Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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      Most money (campaigns + outside groups)

        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Iowa's 4th district · 2026

        David Dawson vs. Chris McGowan

        D David Dawson · R Chris McGowan · Held by open (R)

        ElectIt forecast: David Dawson 2% · Chris McGowan 98% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $1.3M in this race: $1.1M raised by the campaigns + $35K in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $35K the Republican).

        • David Dawson Raised $259K
        • Chris McGowan Raised $853K · outside groups for: $35K

        From the Federal Election Commission.