Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Florida's 5th district · 2026

        Rachel Grage vs. John Rutherford

        D Rachel Grage · R John Rutherford · Held by John H. Rutherford

        ElectIt forecast: Rachel Grage 2% · John Rutherford 98% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $1.3M in this race: $1.3M raised by the campaigns + $13 in outside spending for the general election ($13 helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Rachel Grage Raised $417K · outside groups for: $13
        • John Rutherford Raised $914K

        From the Federal Election Commission.