Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

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    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Florida's 26th district · 2026

        Nicole Locklin vs. Mario Díaz-Balart

        D Nicole Locklin · R Mario Díaz-Balart · Held by Mario Diaz-Balart

        ElectIt forecast: Nicole Locklin <1% · Mario Díaz-Balart >99% · Safe R

        Campaign money

        $3.3M in this race: $3.2M raised by the campaigns + $56K in outside spending for the general election ($56K helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Nicole Locklin Raised $600K · outside groups for: $56K
        • Mario Díaz-Balart Raised $2.6M

        From the Federal Election Commission.