Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        California's 5th district · 2026

        Michael Masuda vs. Tom McClintock

        D Michael Masuda · R Tom McClintock · Held by Tom McClintock

        ElectIt forecast: Michael Masuda 5% · Tom McClintock 95% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $1.8M in this race: $1.8M raised by the campaigns + $10 in outside spending for the general election ($10 helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Michael Masuda Raised $542K · outside groups for: $10
        • Tom McClintock Raised $1.2M

        From the Federal Election Commission.