Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

    Closest races

      Most money (campaigns + outside groups)

        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        California's 23rd district · 2026

        Tessa Lynn Hodge vs. Jay Obernolte

        D Tessa Lynn Hodge · R Jay Obernolte · Held by Jay Obernolte

        ElectIt forecast: Tessa Lynn Hodge 5% · Jay Obernolte 95% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $2.3M in this race: $1.9M raised by the campaigns + $140K in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $140K the Republican).

        • Tessa Lynn Hodge Raised $123K
        • Jay Obernolte Raised $1.8M · outside groups for: $140K

        From the Federal Election Commission.