Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

    Closest races

      Most money (campaigns + outside groups)

        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        California's 1st district · 2026

        Mike McGuire vs. James Gallagher

        D Mike McGuire · R James Gallagher · Held by James Gallagher

        ElectIt forecast: Mike McGuire 98% · James Gallagher 2% · Likely D

        Campaign money

        $4.7M in this race: $4.1M raised by the campaigns + $52K in outside spending for the general election ($52K helping the Democrat, $0 the Republican).

        • Mike McGuire Raised $2.2M · outside groups for: $52K
        • James Gallagher Raised $1.9M

        From the Federal Election Commission.