Election Tracker

The 2026 midterms.

2026 races by state and district

    INVESTIGATE A RACE

    Every House, Senate and governor race: ElectIt's forecast, polls, past results, and the campaign money from the FEC. Search, pick one below, or click a race on the map (click a state, then its race).

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        ABOUT THESE FORECASTS

        Every forecast on this page comes from ElectIt, by Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King, who make their forecasts, data, and methods public. Please cite their paper: Read the paper ↗

        Arkansas Senate · 2026

        Hallie Shoffner vs. Tom Cotton

        D Hallie Shoffner · R Tom Cotton · Held by Tom Cotton

        ElectIt forecast: Hallie Shoffner 1% · Tom Cotton 99% · Likely R

        Campaign money

        $23M in this race: $18M raised by the campaigns + $4.5M in outside spending for the general election ($0 helping the Democrat, $4.5M the Republican).

        • Hallie Shoffner Raised $3.7M · against: $4.5M
        • Tom Cotton Raised $14M

        From the Federal Election Commission.